PDF Download , by Lars von Thienen
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, by Lars von Thienen
PDF Download , by Lars von Thienen
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Product details
File Size: 38920 KB
Print Length: 325 pages
Publication Date: August 18, 2017
Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC
Language: English
ASIN: B074YDP92C
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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#257,916 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
i bought the book after checking the authors website (www.whentotrade.com) . Although the author develops an interesting approach to cycle analysis regarding financial markets forecasting reading the book is a waste of time and money unless the reader is prepared to buy / leasethe software developed by the author. There is no code in the book , just examples from the software.
I usually pass on writing a lot of reviews. This book is nothing but a promo for his expensive software. There is not a single word devoted to illuminating the reader about cycles. This book is a complete fraud. Do not waste your money.
It is my strong opinion that this is a very important book.In fact, after being a serious student of cyclic analysis for many years including the work of JM Hurst, Walter Bressert, Ray Merriman, and the recent contributions of David Hickson, I will go out on a limb and rank the thought process behind this book as powerful as that of Hurst.Hurst work was/is groundbreaking; problem is Hurst analysis relies on averages of cycle length and involves some subjective interpretation.Lars has devised a mathematical approach to study real world cycles; cycles that expand and contract and sometimes invert and follow them in real time. And his approach is quite objective. For me, he provides a critical missing link.This is a very clearly written book and I found the explanations and examples very easy to follow. But I am very familiar with this field so it might be a good idea to acquire some basic cyclic background before entering this world.In any case, I give Lars 6 stars, 5 for his discoveries and an extra for his decision to share them
This is a must have book for the market and cycle enthusiast that is looking to further there knowledge of market cycle analysis.I have been part of this cycles group since the beginning and don't believe its just another book for a person hawking his software.at all.The book gives you a precursor into the methodologies that Lars himself uses to trade and graciously has made available for public consumptionI personally bought the original book and now the updated version. I also have the software and have added some of the indicators to my trading platform. If you are into market cycles you won't be disappointed. For me it has been a fascinating discovery and enjoy using the software so I don't have to rely on someone else's commentary or I use it to double check other cycles publications that I receive.Purchase the book to learn more about using his approach to trading market cycles. Then after consideration see if purchasing the software is a good fit for helping you become a cycles trader.
This is THE most exceptional work I have ever read on cycles as applied to trading. The author has built upon existing research, and taken both the theory and practice of cyclic-based trading to entirely new levels. I especially like his emphasis on dynamic (as opposed to static) cycles, as well as his extremely helpful examples regarding the pragmatic application of cycles to real world trading. Both position and intraday trading are covered, and there are some extraordinarily innovative techniques that I have never encountered before. All in all, a must have for anyone interested in adding cyclic techniques to their trading.
Very interesting book and concepts.
Like most cycle tools - they look great when using more recurrent higher time frame (daily) cycles and best in retrospect. And even then, when trading leveraged products such as futures, the stop loss on a high time frame chart would impede a high reward to risk trade.Let me start by debunking some myths. "Dynamic" cycles means that the spectral analysis is undertaken with each new bar of data so that the cycle analysis is optimised with the addition of each new bar. That is the breakthrough - in one sentence.Anyone who is familiar with Dewey knows that the Fourier engine can be licensed from the Foundation for the study of cycles. The dynamic cycle plot which can be seen in youtube videos shows the DC (dominant cycle) and then the variation from the displaced moving average (A Hurst concept). This is easy to spot by eye. And anyone who has read Connie Brown's books knows that the optimum period for for an oscillator is half the dominant cycle. So it would be easy to make your own software with similar functionality and an Indian firm could code these concepts for very little outlay. In fact, most Fourier analyses on a daily time frame chart can produce similar results - mine certainly does and it is coded for my native platform. It is also "dynamic" in that it updates with each new bar.As for the software, it is full of bugs with frequent error messages. It does not download data on restart making saved workspaces useless. The author went so far as to tell me that working with incomplete data is by design. So cycle analysis with an incomplete dataset could be a "feature"?What the casual visitor to the website cannot see is the "Support" forum which is only unlocked after your pay for the software. In there, you will find user requests for even the most basic functionalities being ignored. There are also people who purchased the software and had to wait 2 weeks for an activation code.So in effect, with the software purchase you are paying for the privilege of beta testing the software.The main interest for the active trader is intraday. And here is where the cycles fail frequently and miserably. Price will often do the opposite of what the cycles are suggesting and the cycles will correct after the fact when the fourier has had the chance to catch up to the price action. So to trade with the DC, you will frequently lose money and then you will be presented with a different DC after your stop has been taken out. However, you will not find screenshots of this phenomenon since the disclaimer for the software forbids publication of screenshots under threat of legal action. Got something to hide?The problem is that you only realise how weak the methodology is after you have purchased the software and by then it is a sunk cost. And once you made the purchase and realise that the software doesn't even download data to fill in the time between your computer being turned off to being turned back on, your mistake sinks in. Of course, the sale has been made and so the vendor has little incentive to listen to the support forum.All in all, 50-50. Really not that different to other trading methodologies available to the public. You could probably do far better trading a MACD divergence with price trend-line break for confirmation. But of course, everyone wants a methodology that makes them feel smart. Best advice - invent your own methods.
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